StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · extremely high probability TRADING set-up for tomorrow/next days<< 1 2 >>Post Follow-up
guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #119982
Ignore guspenskiy13
modified
5/21/2014 5:16:36 PM

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$VIX has closed below 12. This has happened 4 times in past 2 years.

08/05/2013 $VIX closes below 12; market was red for two days in a row and then went into correction.

03/11/2013 $VIX closes below 12; rebound the next day

03/13/2013 $VIX closes below 12; closes lower on 03/14/2013 - rare occurrence

03/14/2013 $VIX closes below 12; rebounds next day but stays below 12, market gaps down and rebounds for two more days.

_________________________

Seems like we have pretty good odds tomorrow and maybe for couple more days for shorting.

Since this is a pretty rare occurrence, I decided to share in a separate thread.


Also....BB's are tight...real tight..

guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #119988
Ignore guspenskiy13
5/22/2014 5:59:00 PM

I was short biased today...only broke even at the end, when shit popped....

VIX closed at 12.03; this is still in play!

Eman93
4,659 posts
msg #120001
Ignore Eman93
5/23/2014 6:53:03 AM

I agree...looking to short at resistance. 190.42 double top on SPY.. 89.68 on the QQQs

GLT

johnpaulca
11,312 posts
msg #120010
Ignore johnpaulca
5/23/2014 12:49:34 PM

everyone is seeing the same double top this is why we will blow through or reverse before getting there. Trend is still intact with no sign of weakness, maybe sucky volume. With so many people trying to pick a top I can see this grinding much higher...forget the useless VIX readings...imho.

guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #120186
Ignore guspenskiy13
5/27/2014 11:49:50 PM

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RSI(2) = 99.99

hmm

guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #120259
Ignore guspenskiy13
5/30/2014 9:02:22 AM

RSI(2) = 100 for ABC now.

wow.

johnpaulca
11,312 posts
msg #120260
Ignore johnpaulca
5/30/2014 9:11:02 AM

ABC....where is the overhead supply coming from...I wouldn't sell either.

guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #120306
Ignore guspenskiy13
5/30/2014 7:25:32 PM

First down day (-0.14%) after a 14 (!) day run-up...

guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #120337
Ignore guspenskiy13
6/2/2014 1:43:44 AM

qqq, spy, iwm 2003-2014

1. +DI

CAR = 15.14%
Sharpe = 1.21
Profitable trades = 82%

2. Aroon

CAR = 12.23%
Sharpe = 0.9
Profitable trades = 77.56%

3. CMF

CAR = 8.26%
Sharpe = 0.59%
Profitable trades = 76.18%

4. LR

CAR = 14.78%
Sharpe = 1.05
Profitable trades = 79.85%

5. QSTICK

CAR = 13.91%
Sharpe = 1.05
Profitable trades = 78.65%

6. RMI

CAR = 14.84%
Sharpe = 1.05
Profitable trades = 78.9%

7. RSI

CAR = 16.83%
Sharpe = 1.19
Profitable trades = 79.8%

8. SMI

CAR = 14.13%
Sharpe = 1.12
Profitable trades = 78.67%

9. STO

CAR = 13.39%
Sharpe = 1
Profitable = 77.66%

10. Williams %R

CAR = 16.1%
Sharpe = 1.07
Profitable = 77.86%

guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #120338
Ignore guspenskiy13
6/2/2014 1:45:30 AM

TOP 3 CAR:

1) RSI
2) %R
3) +DI

TOP 3 SHARPE:

1) +DI
2) RSI
3) SMI

makes sense to use RSI, %R and +DI combined for divergence trading

StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · extremely high probability TRADING set-up for tomorrow/next days<< 1 2 >>Post Follow-up

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