Eman93
4,750 posts
msg #96616
- Ignore Eman93 |
9/29/2010 5:59:36 PM
Getting some bullish action on VXX ........ ROC 12 at -0.65 and heading up. MACD cross...... up 2% today
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the_trade123
107 posts
msg #96634
- Ignore the_trade123 |
9/30/2010 2:08:26 PM
IT flipped today. Will wait for 1 or 2 sessions to confirm
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Kevin_in_GA
4,599 posts
msg #96635
- Ignore Kevin_in_GA
modified |
9/30/2010 5:37:36 PM
VXX:SPY chart from Stockcharts.com
Keep your eye on the ROC(12) on the above chart - it will be the better confirmation signal than the MA cross. I would also suggest playing around with the standard indicators on this ratio to see what they might also be saying.
Good luck. Tomorrow needs to close in the red for this to be triggered.
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Kevin_in_GA
4,599 posts
msg #96661
- Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
10/1/2010 2:50:09 PM
This will need a quick down side move to trigger the ROC(12) crossover. Right now it is moving back under the MA, which is a bullish signal. Caution on any trade right now ...
I would not trade off of this signal today, but would wait for Monday (typically bullish), to see if the ratio stays bearish.
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Eman93
4,750 posts
msg #96673
- Ignore Eman93 |
10/1/2010 5:39:38 PM
Yes as wiriness on inter day alerts thread by me trying to get in some VXX.. did not see this untill now.. the price action tells you to get out..
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the_trade123
107 posts
msg #96717
- Ignore the_trade123 |
10/3/2010 11:53:12 PM
Very frustrating. There are several things right now to consider. On one hand technicals such as overbought, decreasing momentum etc are at play. on the other hand the recent breakout seems to be warranated given that elections are nearby and fed wants to just keep pumping in the last minute (all this seems absolutely timed), so that by the election day things will look hunky dory and there will be a QE2 around Nov 1st week and with endless cash in the market the downfall seems to be around Q1 of next year. I am out of the market and have been watching post the +5% run last month (missed the last 2% of SPY) and still thinking if LONG is the way to go...i am more convinced now that LONG it is, play the breakout till it lasts (may be 2 months more). This week will clarify a bit more. Lets see.....
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Kevin_in_GA
4,599 posts
msg #96727
- Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
10/4/2010 4:19:01 PM
Ratio is above its MA(13), but the ROC has not crossed above 0 yet - so close ...
I am already short via SPXU and have been for the last three weeks. Could be a serious challenge for the shorts tomorrow and Wednesday with treasury sales both days - just a trick to inject liquidity into the markets without having to say you did. POMO days like these are always bullish lately.
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Eman93
4,750 posts
msg #97288
- Ignore Eman93 |
11/1/2010 11:50:34 PM
Looks real close to a cross today... second guessing for not getting short today at SPX 1190...
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all4juan
20 posts
msg #97289
- Ignore all4juan |
11/2/2010 12:11:28 AM
Market is still controlled by the bulls, shorts are being slaughtered i.e TWM some of you were shorting just below $20. If my old memory serves be right Johnpaulca nailed it correctly with TNA.
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Kevin_in_GA
4,599 posts
msg #97678
- Ignore Kevin_in_GA
modified |
11/30/2010 7:05:54 AM
Please note that this indicator has signaled to go short the ^SPX as of yesterday (both the cross above the MA and that the ROC(12) is now positive).
EDIT on 12/1: Wow - market took a very sharp upturn on relatively modest news. Bad call on this one, at least for today.
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