StockFetcher Forums · General Discussion · Discussion: How are YOU Gonna play a Bear market?<< >>Post Follow-up
karennma
6,830 posts
msg #123351
Ignore karennma
3/26/2015 12:52:54 PM

Thoughts?
(I hate inverse ETFs, so I have no other ideas.)

novacane32000
273 posts
msg #123354
Ignore novacane32000
3/26/2015 2:21:18 PM

Excellent question and I hope we get some more responses.

Maybe Gold and DBA

Kevin_in_GA
4,548 posts
msg #123355
Ignore Kevin_in_GA
3/26/2015 2:42:33 PM

AGG. My definition of a Bear market would be when the 6 month ROC of AGG is above the 6 month ROC of SPY. When that happens, move into AGG and wait until the 6 month ROC of SPY rises back above that of AGG.

karennma
6,830 posts
msg #123357
Ignore karennma
3/26/2015 2:54:10 PM

Suggestion:
*** UVXY ***

karennma
6,830 posts
msg #123358
Ignore karennma
3/26/2015 3:04:55 PM

Well, one thing is clear, the Petroleum sector will be going up.
Commodities! Also, Gold n silver.



karennma
6,830 posts
msg #123359
Ignore karennma
3/26/2015 3:10:28 PM

I'll be glad to dump the gold bars Peter Schitt told everyone to buy.
What a bunch of Schi++.
:>/

Kevin_in_GA
4,548 posts
msg #123362
Ignore Kevin_in_GA
3/26/2015 5:32:52 PM

Your goal is not to make money in a bear market, but to protect current assets. Too much of a trader's perspective, not thinking about wealth accumulation. Just my personal spin on things, which has evolved over my time here to more of a longer term investment mindset.

graftonian
439 posts
msg #123368
Ignore graftonian
3/27/2015 11:52:20 AM

Kevin,
A chance for another SF lesson.
How does one code monthly ROC? I would guess "draw weekly ROC(24, 1)". How long a smoothing period would you recommend? And, in this example, how does one get SPY and AGG on the same chart?
Thanks,
Graftonian

Kevin_in_GA
4,548 posts
msg #123378
Ignore Kevin_in_GA
3/27/2015 5:22:43 PM

Well, luckily the ROC is just the percent gain from X days ago. Since each quarter has 63 days or 13 weeks for trading, one could use ROC(126,1) if SF let the ROC() function look back more than 100 days - currently it does not.

I use weekly ROC(13,1) for a quarter year and weekly ROC(26,1) for a half-year. It works fine for me with no smoothing.

Eman93
4,659 posts
msg #123379
Ignore Eman93
3/27/2015 11:16:52 PM

Sell the rips.
We are not in a bear yet. You still should buy support imho

StockFetcher Forums · General Discussion · Discussion: How are YOU Gonna play a Bear market?<< >>Post Follow-up

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