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6,359 posts
msg #60227
Ignore TheRumpledOne
3/5/2008 4:52:57 PM

How a Drought Can Make it Rain Money
By Nick Hodge | Wednesday, March 5th, 2008

Heavy rainfall has brought some relief to the U.S. water crisis, especially for many areas suffering from drought in the southeast. Even so, the Carolinas, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama and Florida haven't moved out of what are being called ‘exceptional drought conditions.'

Of course, this is a political and financial problem as much as it is a meteorological one. And last week, talks between Florida, Georgia and Alabama to solve a 20-year old water dispute turned into another failed attempt.

Here are the bare bones of the dispute surrounding the Florida Panhandle.

Obviously, it's a battle over critical water resources that are increasingly scarce in the Southeast. And to make matters worse, Atlanta--one of the regions largest cities--has been growing at a rapid rate for the last three decades. Of course, its demand for water has grown right along with it.

Serious water woes began in the area in the 1980s and in 1990 Florida and Alabama went to court to battle what many dubbed "Georgia's Water Grab."

Recently, as drought caused water problems to escalate to a water crisis and Atlanta's source of water--Lake Lanier--dipped to dangerously low levels, the debate has once again heated up.

Background on the Water Crisis

Lake Lanier was created by the completion of the Buford Dam on the Chattahoochee River in 1956. Its original purpose was to provide hydroelectricity and flood control.

But as Atlanta's population blossomed, Congress authorized the city to take water from the lake for drinking water purposes. That was supposed to be an incidental use of the lake, but you can imagine what happened...

As more and more water was taken from the lake, Florida and Alabama became increasingly concerned. They are, after all, entitled to an equal share of the river's flow by Federal law.

Since the dispute is between several states, Secretary of Interior Dirk Kempthorne, recently stepped in. He brought with him the experience of negotiating water rights in the arid west, a part of the U.S. facing a similar plight.
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But after three months of talks, Kempthorne declared the talks dead and now it looks as if the three states will have to take their battle all the way to the Supreme Court.

Solutions to and Profits from the Water Crisis

"Why is it so hard for the states to come up with an agreement?" That was a question posed concerning this topic the other day on National Public Radio.

The answer was that each governor has to safeguard the best interests of their respective states. And when the parties involved are together they all talk about finding common ground, but when they get home and discuss the issue with their farmers and water managers, changes the entire dynamic.

That has led Georgia Governor Sonny Perdue to say the other U.S. states don't understand how important the water is to Georgia. And, of course, the other governors feel the same way about the water crises their states are facing.

That has led to the now prevailing view in Florida and Alabama that Georgia is still unwilling to take the tough steps needed to address a water shortage that's not going away.

If you remember, Georgia's water shortage has even led them to try to change their border with Tennessee so the Nickajack Reservoir and part of the Tennessee River would be inside their boundry.

It doesn't look like that's going to happen.

This is just a microcosm of what's going on in other parts of the country and around the world. And I can tell you one thing for certain: there won't be any more water available tomorrow than there is today.

Like energy, we can't make it or destroy it. We can only find different ways to harness it and use it more efficiently. And that's what these states are going to have to do to avoid an even more serious water crisis. That's why I like the investing in water angle so much.

The U.S. Water Crisis: An Extraordinary Opportunity for Investors

You can invest in water by playing utilities, parts manufacturers, infrastructure companies and many more.

crop irrigation lindsay

With a particularly acute drought in rural farming areas, I like Lindsay Corporation (NYSE: LNN)--a stock that's been in the Green Chip Water Index for quite some time now.

The company's claim to fame, so to speak, is the invention of center pivot technology for crop irrigation equipment--the giant sprinklers you can see in fields across the country.

But Lindsay's latest models are truly a modern marvel. They use much less water and energy and can be moved by remote control. So in addition to saving farmers money on water, labor and energy costs, the devices also save vital natural resources.

The company has absolutely exploded as more and more agriculture business realizes how significant their product is. The stock is up more than 135% since early 2007. In fact, I believe it's the new John Deere of the ag world.

Green Chip Stocks members knew about this company long ago. And I'll be recommending water-related companies in my upcoming service, Alternative Energy Speculator, as well.

Until next time,

nick hodge


724 posts
msg #60234
Ignore 13th_floor
3/5/2008 7:32:55 PM

LNN is one of the better daytrading higher priced stocks around.

With only 11,700 shares outstanding, when it pops to the upside it can move nice ,often giving a buck pretty fast.

Sometimes it trades thinly with a slightly wider than norm spread because of its low float but for a "longer" term hold this is no problem.

I got clued in on the possible upside strength of this stock back in June.
I've been long LNN @ $39 since then in my IRA since and actually have hit a double as of a few days ago.

Just my 3 cents,but the company looks solid into the future.

6,359 posts
msg #60248
Ignore TheRumpledOne
3/6/2008 12:52:32 PM

The Ultimate "Fear Gauge" For Beating the Crowds to Big Profits
By Steve Christ | Thursday, March 6th, 2008

It may be as cliché as it gets, but it's true. Investors are motivated by two things and two things only: Fear and Greed. It's just that simple.

So more often than not, they turn quite bullish when they think a stock is headed higher and quite bearish when they fear that all is lost. The trouble with this strategy though is that for most retail investors, it is exactly at these extremes in sentiment that they often lose their shirts.

Because while conventional financial theory does suggest the idea that markets behave rationally, not accounting for the emotional aspect of the trade often leads to all of the wrong entry and exit points.

And believe me when I tell you this. It's hard to turn a buck on the Street when you're constantly getting either one or both of them wrong.

That's why successful technical analysts often rely on the VIX indicator to assess whether or not the current market sentiment is either excessively bullish or bearish in order to plot their next move.

Make Better Trades Using the Fear Gauge

You see, the VIX is one of the so-called contrarian indicators. That is, it tells you whether or not the markets have reached an extreme position one way or the other. If so, that tends to be a sure sign that the markets are about to stage reversal.

The idea here is that if the wide majority believes that one bet is such a sure thing, they pile on. But by the time that happens, the market is usually ready to turn the other way.

Of course, as usual "the crowd" hardly ever gets its right. (So much for the rational market theory). So the smart money simply uses the VIX indicator as a sign to bet against them all.

If "the crowd" is feeling very bullish, in other words, it is definitely time to think about getting bearish.

It's counter-intuitive for sure, but it works nearly all of the time-especially in volatile markets

And that's why the VIX indicator is a trader's best friend these days.

After all, if there is one way to describe today's markets it would have to volatile.

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He's also frequently appeared on investment shows such as Money Matters with Barry Armstrong and On the Money with Mike Stein.

Click here to learn more about Ian's next pick.

So What Is the VIX Indicator?

Developed by the Chicago Board Options Exchange in 1993, the CBOE Volatility Index (Chicago Options: ^VIX) is one of the Street's most widely accepted methods to gauge stock market volatility.

Using short-term near-the-money call and put options, the index measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options over the next 30 day period.

But because it is basically a derivative of a derivative, it acts more like a market thermometer more than anything else.

And like a thermometer, there are specific numbers that tell the market's story.

A level below 20 is generally considered to be bearish, indicating that investors have become overly complacent. Meanwhile, with a reading of greater than 30, a high level of investor fear is implied, which is bullish from a contrarian point of view.

The smart thing to do then is to wait for peaks in the VIX above 30 and let the VIX start to decline, before placing your buy. As the volatility declines, stocks in general will rise and you can make big profits. You see it time and time again

In fact, the old saying with the VIX is, "When the VIX is high, it's time to buy." That's because when volatility is high and rising, that means the crowd is scared. And when the crowd is scared, they sell, and stock prices fall dramatically, leaving bargains for money making traders.

The VIX Indicator in Action

Here's an example of how it works in the real world.

It comes from three recent reversals in the S&P 500-each one of them successfully predicted by the VIX using its 200 day moving average (DMA) as the basis of each move.

Take a look at the charts:

vix indicator

sp chart

As you can see, every time the VIX either breached or touched its 200 DMA the S&P reversed and began to decline. And not surprisingly, each of those moves occurred when the index told us that fear levels were low.

Conversely, of course, both charts show that rallies ensued not long after the index spiked above 30, which represented times of great fear.

And for smart traders, each occasion was the equivalent of taking candy from babies, simply by betting against the "wisdom" of the crowd.

That's why the VIX Indicator is so popular these days. So don't trade without it.

After all, if there is one other thing that we know for sure about fear and greed it is that they never ever take a break.

Use them to your advantage.

Wishing you happiness, health, and wealth,

steve sig

Steve Christ, Editor

Wealth Daily

6,359 posts
msg #60731
Ignore TheRumpledOne
3/24/2008 12:57:53 PM

Dear avery,

You are about to get excited.

I -just- hosted a great "March Madness Stock Market"

Seventy-Five minutes of high energy and hard work.

One goal.

To teach you everything I can in seventy-five minutes on how
to take advantage of the volatility in the stock market.

To teach you how to start earning a valuable source of income
as quickly and safely as possible.

The March Madness Stock Market teleseminar had the best
response that we've ever had.

This is what you need to get a jump start on your stock
market education.

You registered for the call, now listen to it at anytime!

The March Madness Stock Market teleseminar is going to
revolutionize your trading career.

Talk Soon,

Adam Mesh

P.S. If this were college class there would be a two year
waitlist to get in. Take advantage of the fact that you
are on this exclusive list and listen in now.

6,359 posts
msg #60749
Ignore TheRumpledOne
3/24/2008 6:53:35 PM

E-Trade's China Fallacy
By Sam Hopkins | Monday, March 24th, 2008

"I just bought 200 shares... on the stock exchange in Hong Kong. I mean, how cool is that? That's China!"

That's straight from the new TV ad campaign for online brokerage E-Trade (NYSE:ETFC).

Keep in mind, though, that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is a very different animal from the Shanghai market. And brokers who muddle their geography just to take advantage of China's rip-roaring growth stand to do serious damage to your international portfolio.

They're also missing out on major profit plays in more mature regional markets right in China's backyard.

E-Trade has Greater China wrong... but here's how you can get it right, with Greater China ETFs from Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore.

"Greater China" refers to China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macau (Hong Kong's often-forgotten neighbor and world gambling capital), and sometimes Singapore, where three-quarters of the population is ethnically Chinese. However, simply calling all of these "China" will get you a scowl from many natives... and a hole in your pocketbook if you invest in the fallacy that E-Trade is spouting.

Think There's One China? Check the Headlines and Profit with these Greater China ETFs

Which do you prefer: "China's Olympic Flame Lit Amid Protests" or "Markets Surge in Taiwan as Election Raises Hopes for Mainland Ties?"

Fortunately you have a variety of exchange-traded fund (ETF) tickers to shuffle around Greater China as current events deliver sizable market pops.

The iShares MSCI Taiwan Index ETF (NYSE:EWT) beat the pants off of the S&P 500 from April to November of 2007, but the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (NYSE:FXI) was positively stratospheric, quintupling the Taiwan (Republic of China) fund at its peak.

Since autumn, stock markets have been beaten down across the globe, and no Greater China exchange escaped the slump.

But then in the past month, anticipation of Taiwan's presidential election this past weekend brought exuberance to Taiwanese stocks, reversing the year-long trend. Ma Ying-jeou, the opposition candidate who emerged victorious, has urged greater economic cooperation between Taiwan and mainland China, and investors are eating it up.
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The coming thaw will include regularly scheduled direct airplane flights (currently Taiwanese have to bounce off of other nearby ports if they are headed to the People's Republic of China), and Ma has also pledged to let loose Taiwanese investment in Chinese enterprises to tap the double-digit GDP growth and 1.3 billion-person marketplace.

Combine this rosy news with a hard fall on the Shanghai exchange from November levels and you get more than a 13% gain in the EWT Taiwan ETF from February 25 to March 24, compared to a 12% drop in the FXI, as we see in the chart below.

ishares china fund comparison

The Greater China Dragon Has Many Heads

If you've ever been to a Chinese New Year celebration, you know that the long, decorated dragon you see winding its way down the street is actually at least a dozen people meandering in unison. From year to year, a different person may take the lead.

So goes with Greater China, as Taiwan steps to the front and guides Singapore, Hong Kong, and even the Beijing behemoth across the Taiwan Straits into this week's market action. The iShares MSCI Singapore Index Fund (NYSE:EWS) also jumped Monday on Taiwan's election news, leaving its Hong Kong counterpart (NYSE:EWH) in the dust by quadrupling Hong Kong's mid-day gain of 2% with an 8% bounce.

Taiwan's China Post newspaper reported a 6.8% jump in the Taiwan Stock Exchange's tourism sub-index on Monday as investors anticipate an influx of mainland Chinese to the capital Taipei and elsewhere on the island.

International traders who added EWT to their portfolio ahead of the election are also benefiting from currency tailwinds, as the Taiwanese dollar has appreciated to its highest level in a decade, pushing Taiwanese auto stocks up nearly 7% as well, and other export-based industries are sure to get a boost.

I'm long on the EWT ETF as Taiwanese stocks get a "peace pop" from Ma's new leadership and re-establish themselves as a fruitful and less volatile counterpart to Shanghai stocks. We'll be coming out with more specific plays on Greater China soon in Wealth Daily, so stay tuned.


Sam Hopkins

6,359 posts
msg #60777
Ignore TheRumpledOne
3/26/2008 11:27:44 AM

6,359 posts
msg #61231
Ignore TheRumpledOne
4/8/2008 12:43:58 PM


Norman Hallett here from TradingMind Software.

Your trading plan has given you the "GO" to take
your long position.

You hesitate.

For whatever reason, you miss the initial entrance
point and now you're watching the market go up
without you.

Has this happened to you recently?

Wait... I'm not done.

Your "almost" position continues higher and now
you're nearly halfway to where your system would have
you take your profit. Boy, the market looks strong.

Should you get in "here" instead of just keep watching
it go up? The market looks destined to hit your target
and at least you'll get the last part of the profit!

You hesitate a little more. The market goes up

You can't stand it any more... You jump in!

Wait! What's this? The market is stalling. It's
almost like they were waiting for you to get in
to take the market back down.

You can guess the rest. I mean, you've lived it,
haven't you?

We all have.

Many of us have lived it OVER and OVER again.

When will we learn not to chase markets?!

Gerry Schwartz, a trader from Los Angeles, HAS
learned not to chase markets.


Watch Gerry's 3-minute video in the middle of this
page (scroll down a to the middle of the page after
tapping this link... he's the guy in the glasses)...

Tap Here To See Gerry's Video (scroll to mid-page)

What's actually happening when we feel the urge
to chase a market?

What's happening is that you are trying to make
it "all right" that you missed the trade.

If you recall from your own experience, as the
market is going up without you, you actually
start ROOTING AGAINST your trading methodology.

You want the market to come back down (so that
you can either get in where you were supposed
to... or even worse, to get in at a better price
and call yourself a genius for getting in at a
better price than you trading plan directed you).

It's all about covering up your ill feelings
about yourself for not being disciplined enough
to take the darn signal and ACT, when your trading
plan tells you to act. When you don't take the
signal, you feel like a jerk.

And in a way you are!

I mean, why spend all the time developing and
back-testing your trading system if you're not
going to COMMIT to the signals it gives you!

The answer...Fear.

Mostly fear of failure.

But that's for another email.

The truth is that it doesn't matter WHY you lack
trading discipline!

I mean it's nice to know why so you can understand
yourself a little better.

But the great thing is that you can develop positive
discipline patterns as a trader by just doing a "little
something" every morning before you start trading...

Like Gerry Schwartz does a "little something".

Spend the next 3 minutes listening to Gerry on how
and why he stays disciplined and doesn't chase markets

Then ask yourself YOU are ready to change.

(scroll down to the middle of this page to see Gerry's
3 minute video... he's the guy in the glasses)...

Tap Here To See Gerry's Video (scroll to mid-page)

Your mind will keep you disciplined if you just spend
a few minutes a day training it. Ask any consistently
successful trader.

My best,

Norman Hallett, CEO
Subconscious Training Corp.
Makers of TradingMind Softaware
Tap Here NOW to be a DISCIPLINED Trader
6606 NW 66th Avenue
Parkland, FL 33067

6,359 posts
msg #61794
Ignore TheRumpledOne
4/24/2008 3:00:33 PM

6,359 posts
msg #62079
Ignore TheRumpledOne
5/2/2008 3:33:26 PM

The Biggest Profits Coming from Big Brother
By Brian Hicks | Friday, May 2nd, 2008

We've feared it for years. There's no hiding from it any more. Be prepared. Big Brother just got a lot nosier.

By 2011, you and I will be required to carry Real ID cards.

Love or hate the idea... it's coming.

Yep, soon Federal law will require that most people carry these cards if they want to fly on airlines, or even enter a federal building— strict new security measures to protect us from the next 9/11.

Reports show the White House is in the process of bringing in consultants to help figure out how to set up the Real ID distribution process, as well as how to implement new security measures.

Sure, the Real ID Act won't fully kick in until 2011, but the White House needs to jump on the process "that will take a while and cost a lot." It's a process that could soon splash the iDcentrix name across national newspapers.

The Real ID Act... and Why IDCX.OB Should be Bought Immediately

iDcentrix, Inc. (IDCX.OB) is our favorite micro-cap of the year.

Here's why.

Causing quite a Congressional uproar, the Real ID Act, passed in 2005, is about to become the first real move toward what we've feared for years - The National ID Card.

At some point in the near future it will be hard to leave home without it...

That's why the Real ID Act was so controversial in the first place.

Without one of these new IDs, a trip to Greece, for example, sometime in the future will likely be nearly impossible. As will be driving, visiting a federal government building and collecting Social Security checks, among other things.


6,359 posts
msg #62402
Ignore TheRumpledOne
5/9/2008 10:15:17 AM

Dear avery,

It seems that not everyone received this email yesterday.
Those who did really enjoyed it so I wanted to make sure
you saw it too. The original email is below.

Have a great weekend,

Adam Mesh


I want to give you a quick and easy to follow checklist to
help you protect and grow your money in the stock market.

If you want, print this out and tape it to your desk.

Stock Market Checklist:

1.) Make sure you are aware of how your portfolio is
performing. Even if you have put your trust into someone
else's hands, you must know how to track how you are doing.
After all, it is your money and there is nobody that cares
more about it than you do.

The following is an excerpt from Walter Updegrave's recent
CNNMoney article:

"Does your adviser provide regular updates on how you’re

No strategy is going to go exactly according to plan. So your
adviser should be providing periodic reports - quarterly
seems reasonable to me - that show you how you’re doing
versus an appropriate benchmark. If your portfolio’s
performance is out of line - either above or below its
benchmark - then your adviser should explain why this is the
case and you should both discuss whether any changes or
tweaks are needed.

A good adviser should also know, however, that market turmoil
will naturally upset many investors and lead them to wonder
whether they’re still on the right course. So aside from
scheduled updates, an adviser should make a special effort to
keep in touch during especially chaotic periods.

It’s not enough at times like this for an adviser to say,
“hang in there and all will be well.” An adviser should be
ready to go over the strategy again, make sure it’s still
appropriate for your situation and, most important, explain
to you why the strategy still applies even if it’s losing
money at the moment.

If something about your situation has changed or if it turns
out you drastically overestimated the level of volatility you
can stomach, then it could make sense to fine tune and
perhaps re-jigger your portfolio. Remember, though, if you’re
constantly making changes, then you probably don’t have a
real strategy anyway. You’re winging it.

If, after asking yourself these questions, you decide your
adviser comes up short, then fine, go look for a new one. But
if you’re going to jettison him because he can’t predict the
future, good luck in your search for a replacement, because I
don’t think you’ll find anyone who’ll measure up."

2.) Don't anticipate what is going to happen next in the
stock market, just try to be the first to react when things
do start happening. Here's the analogy: pretend you are a
goalkeeper in a soccer tournament and the other team has a
penalty kick. If you dive before the ball is kicked then you
have a fifty-fifty chance of guessing right. Those are not
good odds when it comes to making a trade in the stock
market. If you react as soon as the ball is kicked you have a
much better chance of picking the right direction and even if
you are wrong, you still will not be as wrong. The key to
stock market success is taking advantage of what the market
gives you instead of trying to predict what is going to

At Berkshire Hathaway Inc.'s annual meeting, Warren Buffett
was asked to expand on his outlook for the stock market and
he replied, "I'd like to expand but I couldn't answer. It's
just not our game."

3.) Remain Disciplined. When trading at any level, you must
have the discipline to remove emotions from your decision
making process. Trades should be executed based on
risk/reward and sound technical analysis. If the last thought
you have before buying or selling a stock contains one of
these words: hope, afraid, want, fear, need - then you are
doing something wrong. Have the discipline to do the right
thing whether it's comfortable or not.

4.) Be consistent. If you know you have the right strategy
and you are trading the correct way then don't be fazed by
small losses. Stick with the game and plan and know that over
time you will be rewarded for your consistency. If A-Rod
strikes out three times in a row, he does not change his
entire swing. He doesn't even change his bat. He knows that
if he sticks with what's proven to be successful over time
then the hits will come his way. It's okay to tweak and
constantly be looking to improve but not change everything
because of a few minor setbacks. Boring Consistency will lead
to success. If it helps, find someone to hold you accountable
to make sure you follow through.

5.) Form a plan. You need to have a base, a core strategy that
you can rely on and work off of. Success starts with a plan.
Take a system that works, now customize it for you and your
lifestyle. Set goals that you have to stretch to reach and
make sure the plan you have will give you the best possible
chance to achieve those goals.

If you need help with #'s 4 & 5 then click on the link below.
My team and I will make sure you are held accountable. We
will also customize a stock market plan that is based on you
- your personality, your availability and your goals.

Here's To Your Success,

Adam Mesh

Founder of the First Ever Online Stock Market Community

P.S. Picture this... One year from now you look down on a
wrinkled and heavily marked piece of paper that is taped to
your desk. The paper is torn and there are notes and
highlights everywhere. It is your checklist. You then smile
as you realize that all of the stock market success you have
had over the past year began with this checklist.


When I first thought of joining with Adam's company, I was
probably the most skeptical person you could find. An
experienced business owner myself, I know how overwhelming
one can get & at times, not be able to deliver all that is promised,
when it's expected. Adam actually spoke to me patiently,
for probably longer than he would have liked, answering
all my questions, attempting to make me feel comfortable with
him & the program. Still somewhat skeptical, I thought I'd
give it a try.

After just a few weeks into the program, I've decided that
ADAM IS THE REAL DEAL!! He, as well as his associates have
been nothing but helpful, informative & attentive to my needs.
All my calls & emails have been answered, promised mailings
delivered, & the program is being explained in a manner that I
can understand & work with. I'm expecting great returns for my
investment & now believe that Adam & his team will see to it
that I get just that!!

Great job,guys!!

Diane W.
Lighthouse Point, FL

Adam Mesh Trading Group, LLC
621 Second Avenue, Suite 2E
New York, NY 10016

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