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four
3,389 posts
msg #132542
Ignore four
11/15/2016 11:29:48 AM

https://rightsideofthechart.com/adjusting-position-sizing-stops-profit-targets-when-trading-volatile-stocks/

On a final & related note which I feel is very important to consider is the relationship between volatility & stops. A lot of traders that I talk to have a very difficult & frustrating time trading the miners because their stops are constantly being clipped, with the trade often going on to play out for what would have been a very nice gain, as they (for the most part) read the charts correctly. I realize that the stops on some of my trades might seem excessive & some might immediate think ”Are you crazy?.. a 20%+ stop-allowance on a trade?..No way!” Well first of all, to each his own; never take a trade that you are not comfortable with or doesn’t mess with your trading style or rules.

Now for my reasoning behind what might appear as excessive stops on some of the trade ideas posted here: It is all relative. For example, if I decide to short DUST for what I plan to be a multi-month long swing trade on GDX (shorting DUST gives you a long exposure plus, it lets the decay work for your position instead of against it), I might allow for a 20%+ stop if my profit target is for a gain of 60% or more. First of all, one must not forget that DUST is 3x (300%) leveraged ETF. Therefore, that is effectively about an 8.3% equivalent stop loss on GDX or the mining sector with a equivalent profit target of about 30%, still a 3:1 R/R.

In mid-Feb, the ATR (average true range) on GDX peaked at over 1.00, which means that GDX, ON AVERAGE was experiencing daily price swings of more than $1 per share at a time when the share price was only $19 or less. That equates to an AVERAGE intraday price swing over over 5.3% on GDX. Now juice that up by 300% and you get an average daily price swing of about 16% on DUST & NUGT. Therefore, this is what I’ve said to traders in the past when swing trading the miners: Either allow for very wide stops (commensurate with your gain potential/profit targets, of course) or don’t bother trading the miners at all because you are all but guaranteed to have your stops run if you plan to be in that trade for more than a few days if using tight stops.

Given, most traders don’t have the stomach or deep pockets to swallow a 20%+ loss on an typical position but they do if they adjust their position size down according because again, percentage gains are relative whereas DOLLAR gains & losses are what matters. If you normally trade the SPY (with a typical ATR between 1-2%) in $10k position sizes with 5% stop-losses & 15%+ profit targets, then GDX should be traded in a position size of at least half that ($5k), cutting that down by another 1/3rd of trading NUGT or DUST while allow doubling (and then tripling from there if DUST/NUGT) your total percentage stop-allowance & price targets, which should expose you to roughly the same total dollar gains or losses, per trade, as would trading the SPY.

four
3,389 posts
msg #132606
Ignore four
11/17/2016 9:13:36 PM

https://www.sefcu.com/MortgageMatch/

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four
3,389 posts
msg #132632
Ignore four
11/19/2016 1:54:25 AM

www.reuters.com/article/us-volkswagen-costs-idUSKBN13D0UJ

VW cut 30,000 jobs

four
3,389 posts
msg #132763
Ignore four
modified
11/24/2016 8:36:00 AM

http://wolfstreet.com/2016/11/22/strongest-pillar-of-the-shaky-us-economy-has-cracked/

Car

four
3,389 posts
msg #132814
Ignore four
11/26/2016 8:25:23 PM

Bumped into this... (no knowledge of the product)

http://forexsb.com/index.php

Testing and Trading Forex Strategies

four
3,389 posts
msg #132849
Ignore four
11/28/2016 1:51:10 AM

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/crude-remains-under-pressure-after-saudis-back-out-of-russia-meeting-2016-11-28

four
3,389 posts
msg #132870
Ignore four
11/29/2016 12:29:06 AM

http://hwcdn.libsyn.com/p/6/4/e/64e0a10af89dbe0e/504.mp3?c_id=13384823&expiration=1480398804&hwt=c7a9eecf0296a9f1ab988cc517a57028

Ep. 504 (NEW): Jim Rickards (Road to Ruin).

four
3,389 posts
msg #132901
Ignore four
modified
11/29/2016 11:39:47 PM

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-etf-has-jumped-sevenfold-since-the-start-of-the-bull-market-2016-11-29?mod=MW_story_top_stories

Here are the 10 best-performing funds since the market bottom:
Rank Security Return
1. Guggenheim S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF RPV, -0.37% 675.97%
2. Guggenheim S&P 500 Pure Value ETF RPV, -0.37% 634.88%
3. PowerShares Nasdaq Internet Portfolio PNQI, +0.25% 566.7%
4. Guggenheim S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF RFV, -0.86% 560.06%
5. SPDR S&P Insurance ETF KIE, +0.07% 536.29%
6. First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund FDN, +0.01% 535.66%
7. Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF RCD, -0.22% 532.36%
8. Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight Financials ETF RYF, +0.24% 505.45%
9. First Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index Fund FBT, +0.08% 504.56%
10. Oppenheimer Small-Cap Revenue ETF RWJ, +0.03% 504.22%

Because the bull market has been essentially uninterrupted since it began—with only a few market corrections, all of which were short-lived—two of the 10 biggest losers since the bottom have been volatility-related products, which have an inverse correlation to the broader market. The CBOE Volatility index VIX, -1.90% which these securities are built around, it is often referred to as the “fear index,” an emotion that hasn’t been evident in markets over the past several years.

The other big losers of the bull market has been commodity-related funds, which reflects the massive upheavals in the space. A variety of energy-related funds—including those that cover crude oil, natural gas, and solar power—make up the rest of the biggest decliners. As natural gas and solar technologies have matured, their costs have dropped precipitously, which has weighed on the profitability of those sectors. Meanwhile crude oil has also seen sharp drops amid waning demand—an issue due to global growth levels as well as competition from other energy sources—and oversupply issues that continue to this day.

Here are the top 10 biggest losers:
Ranking Security Return
10. Barclays Bank PLC iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN VXX, -0.64% -99.9%
9. iPath Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex Total Return ETN GAZ, -0.96% -97.66%
8. United States Natural Gas Fund L.P. UNG, -0.59% -93.65%
7. Barclays Bank PLC iPath S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN VXZ, -0.40% -91.9%
6. iPath Bloomberg Energy Subindex Total Return ETN JJE, -0.43% -74.78%
5. iPath Global Carbon ETN GRN, -9.09% -73.09%
4. iPath S&P GSCI Crude Oil Total Return Index ETN OIL, -2.88% -71.74%
3. VanEck Vectors Solar Energy ETF KWT, -0.57% -66.14%
2. United States Oil Fund LP USO, -3.64% -64.17%
1. PowerShares DB Oil Fund DBO, -3.37% -53.96%

four
3,389 posts
msg #132917
Ignore four
11/30/2016 12:38:01 PM

https://www.tumbleweedhouses.com/company-product-news/new-tiny-house-hotel-roberts-resorts-tumbleweed/?utm_source=Tumbleweed+Houses&utm_campaign=472425f84e-November-9-Newsletter-2016&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_7539d648c2-472425f84e-18501613&goal=0_7539d648c2-472425f84e-18501613&mc_cid=472425f84e&mc_eid=71ef9a13f6


four
3,389 posts
msg #133019
Ignore four
modified
12/3/2016 1:20:19 AM

http://t.dripemail2.com/c/eyJhY2NvdW50X2lkIjoiMzUxMzcxOCIsImRlbGl2ZXJ5X2lkIjoiNDIxOTQzMTU1IiwidXJsIjoiaHR0cDovL3RyYWZmaWMubGlic3luLmNvbS90cmVuZGZvbGxvd2luZy81MDcubXAzP19fcz12c2Nzc25wempmb3pjaWk4Y3RoMyJ9

Ep. 507 (NEW): Lanny Bassham (Olympic Champion Mindset).
Michael Covel

process | routine | outcome | consistent | effort

http://mentalmanagement.com/

http://mentalmanagementcourses.com/applications/everyone/

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