StockFetcher Forums · General Discussion · predicting earnings before they happen-playing options<< 1 2 3 4 >>Post Follow-up
itrademan
70 posts
msg #46310
Ignore itrademan
8/10/2006 11:04:05 PM

Why are you now providing the details in your first post itself.

I have heard that predicting earnings is not possible based on charts ( or any other legal means). Straddle and Strangle help for a short-term trader if the earning news is supposed to affect the price drastically.

I am too waiting to read your response.




Aktienfahnder
36 posts
msg #46316
Ignore Aktienfahnder
8/11/2006 10:35:07 AM

No response up to now - still waiting "mary4money"! Thx...


maxreturn
745 posts
msg #46317
Ignore maxreturn
8/11/2006 10:56:18 AM

Methinks MARY4MONEY...AKA HOLY GRAIL...Is a tease nes pas?


luc1grunt
622 posts
msg #46320
Ignore luc1grunt
8/11/2006 12:08:39 PM

LOL....call, retreat, start another post. call, retreat, start another post. too funny


numbat1
17 posts
msg #46342
Ignore numbat1
8/13/2006 6:01:45 AM

Mary please tell me to... den_carroll@hotmail.com


__fetcheruser123
msg #46346
Ignore __fetcheruser123
8/13/2006 12:47:00 PM

There is no true way to predict earnings before they're released unless you have insider information. Any judgement based on price/volume movement is simply speculation.


alf44
2,025 posts
msg #46408
Ignore alf44
modified
8/16/2006 1:27:59 AM

:8^X




maxreturn
745 posts
msg #46410
Ignore maxreturn
8/16/2006 7:59:56 AM

Thanks TRO. A couple of clarifications. First, I'm assuming that you mean price should go up after the earnings announcement instead of "This indicates that the price should DOWN up after earnings announcement". Second, what settings are used for the linear regression channel?


TheRumpledOne
6,358 posts
msg #46400
Ignore TheRumpledOne
modified
8/16/2006 9:56:38 AM

Ok, boy and girls, class is now in session.

I just got off the phone with StockHolyGrail (aka Mary4Money).

According to him, this is what you look for:

Price decreasing

Volume spikes on intraday chart near the end of the day.

This indicates that the price should go UP after earnings announcement.



Price increasing

Volume spike on intraday chart near the end of the day.

This indicates that the price should go DOWN after earnings announcement.

When you are looking at your chart, check price position compared to linear regression.

HPQ has earnings tomorrow.

Huge orders went through at 16:00:50 and 16:00:58 - over 1.1 million shares AND THEY WERE BUYS!!

Let's see happens tomorrow.

Class dismissed.





TheRumpledOne
6,358 posts
msg #46418
Ignore TheRumpledOne
8/16/2006 9:57:11 AM

maxreturn...

I edited above...

Thanks


StockFetcher Forums · General Discussion · predicting earnings before they happen-playing options<< 1 2 3 4 >>Post Follow-up

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