StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Karen's 2016 Crash Report<< 1 2 3 4 >>Post Follow-up
johnpaulca
11,293 posts
msg #126903
Ignore johnpaulca
1/25/2016 4:35:06 PM

johnpaulca
9,382 posts
msg #126870 1/22/2016 5:43:57 PM

Most traders will short the bounce.
*****************************************************************************************

SPY...We all knew this bounce would be shorted...back to 182 with a bounce at about 185

karennma
6,827 posts
msg #126906
Ignore karennma
modified
1/25/2016 5:12:32 PM

And the losers are:
DJI -208
DJT -126
IXIC -72
SPX -29

And the winners are:
DWTI +$70.
YANG +$10.
ERY +$4.86
RUSS +$5
TZA +$3.93




karennma
6,827 posts
msg #126930
Ignore karennma
1/26/2016 10:26:16 AM

SPX broke benchmark signal a week ago 1812.
We are officially in a bear market.
Shudda been in YANG & DWTI in April 2015 .... a little late imho ... so here are the Real Estate ETFs, which are still cheap (all in double-digits as opposed to triple).

SRS (Proshares)
DRV (Direxion)
HBZ (new, no history) (Proshares)
REK (Proshares)







karennma
6,827 posts
msg #126931
Ignore karennma
1/26/2016 10:27:21 AM

I hope RE crashes hard. Worse than 2008.

karennma
6,827 posts
msg #126933
Ignore karennma
1/26/2016 10:36:52 AM

The low on HBZ was Oct 5, 2015 @ $15.22


karennma
6,827 posts
msg #126934
Ignore karennma
1/26/2016 10:43:00 AM

Today's prices:
SRS $48.50 (2X inverse of DJ US RE Index)
REK $20.18 (Inverse of DJ US RE Index)
DRV $21.12 (Inverse of US REIT Index)
HBZ $24.53 (Homebuilders & Suppliers)

Now if Velocity came out with a 3X, that would be my inverse ETF of choice.




karennma
6,827 posts
msg #126935
Ignore karennma
modified
1/26/2016 11:22:57 AM

Sale of Single Family homes peaked in Jan 2015. Look at 5-year chart and draw trend line from Jan 2015 to current.
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/HSN1F

Ha! U don't have to look at 5 yr. Just look at ONE-year chart.


karennma
6,827 posts
msg #126938
Ignore karennma
1/26/2016 12:07:12 PM

But for a housing crash, you need prices to go down ...
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MSPNHSUS

Banks already have problems ... see ..
Moving in the right direction.






graftonian
439 posts
msg #126960
Ignore graftonian
1/26/2016 6:19:37 PM

Three out of the last four days buying UWTI in the pre-market and selling early has increased my "beer money" account. I may die hungry but not thirsty.

karennma
6,827 posts
msg #126964
Ignore karennma
1/27/2016 8:49:10 AM

Sweet!


StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Karen's 2016 Crash Report<< 1 2 3 4 >>Post Follow-up

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