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StockFetcher Forums · General Discussion · Swing Trading Ideas and methods<< 1 ... 90 91 92 93 94 ... 98 >>Post Follow-up
Eman93
4,659 posts
msg #107648
Ignore Eman93
modified
8/15/2012 5:23:27 PM

the vertical lines are Option Expiration...only 3 out of the last 20 resulted in a "continuation". I got short today... long SDS




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duke56468
683 posts
msg #107656
Ignore duke56468
8/15/2012 10:51:12 PM

I got long SDS @14.43 based on Kevins stochastic cross filter, may have been a mistake since it is about to cross back up already. I could not get it to backtest well with a 3% trailing stop but it did backtest well the last 3 quarters with a regular 3% stop loss. Eman have you used Stockvision lately and did you get Retrospect?

johnpaulca
11,322 posts
msg #107659
Ignore johnpaulca
8/16/2012 12:09:15 AM

Trend is still seriously strong....bears aren't getting any traction, any dip is quickly gobbled up.

Eman93
4,659 posts
msg #107666
Ignore Eman93
8/16/2012 9:08:39 AM

No haven't used stockvison.

==============

JP dont like the action in dolla this am.. for being short

Kevin_in_GA
4,557 posts
msg #107667
Ignore Kevin_in_GA
8/16/2012 9:49:40 AM

Duke:

If you got in SDS at 14.43 you are currently up on the trade, just barely. Even if the cross back to SSO happens by the end of the day, you probably will breakeven or at the worst lose a fraction of a percent.


duke56468
683 posts
msg #107668
Ignore duke56468
modified
8/16/2012 10:05:51 AM

Thanks Kevin, I noticed in the backtest that often I could have done better waiting until the end of the day after the trigger or even 2 days later. I also noticed that it didn't always switch from sso to sds on the same day and some times bought sso twice in a row not sure why. All in all the results were impressive enough to throw real money at it . Thanks again I appreciate your work.

P.S. I see SDS has already crossed up this morning at 9:00 AM cst

Kevin_in_GA
4,557 posts
msg #107669
Ignore Kevin_in_GA
8/16/2012 10:24:06 AM

I noticed that as well, but there's no call made until the day is done. Let's see how this plays out. The fact that you got in at 14.43 (versus the mechanical entry at 14.64 ) means you'll do better on this trade than the system will.

novacane32000
273 posts
msg #107674
Ignore novacane32000
8/16/2012 11:43:59 AM

Duke-Kevin .My manual backtest for SSO/SDS buying at the close of the signal day and selling at the close of signal day were not as profitable as waiting until the open of the following day.

Without reinvesting ,buying 1 share of SDS at the close of the day on 1/2011 thru 7/2011 would yield $2.4 as opposed to $6.01 waiting untill the open of the following day.

SSO yields $20.61 as opposed to $30.02 respectively

Though both methods are profitable,waiting until the day after the signal and buying at the open is the clear winner.

I suspect Stratasearch specifically looked for only the best combination buying and selling at the open following the signal day and a new combination would emerge if one wanted to enter at the close of the signal day. With delays on SF ,this would then have you anticipating signal changes.

Eman93
4,659 posts
msg #107804
Ignore Eman93
8/25/2012 9:13:08 AM

one of these charts is going to be higher at the end of next week... which one?

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Eman93
4,659 posts
msg #107867
Ignore Eman93
8/31/2012 8:34:32 AM

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StockFetcher Forums · General Discussion · Swing Trading Ideas and methods<< 1 ... 90 91 92 93 94 ... 98 >>Post Follow-up

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