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VousDeux
17 posts
msg #47085
Ignore VousDeux
9/20/2006 9:02:17 PM

Greetings:

I just joined yesterday, and haven't finished reading the manual yet, but what I am trying to put together is a filter that will find positions that are printing a double-bottom and holding slightly positive while the S&P 500 corrects. There should be an accumulaton of volume and the slow stochastics should be indicating an oversold condition on both daily and weekly charts. Ultimately, the slow stochastics %D should be below 20 with the %K turning up at the same time as the MACD Histogram is just beginning to print above zero. It would also be nice to be able to identify some positive convergence with, perhaps, an advance/decline line.

I am going to attempt to insert my filter and some backtesting results, but since this if my first fiter, and first post please forgive me if it doesn't work exactly right (I'm sure I'll get better at it :)

This is what I have so far:

Entry Filter
Price close above 5
and price close below 50

set{diff,close / ind(^SPC,close)} show stocks where diff
reached a new 1 year low and compare with ^SPC

Slow Stochastics Slow %D(10) below 20

Slow Stochastics Fast %K(10) increasing for the last 4 Days

MACD Histogram(12,26,9) above 0 for the past 2 days

Average Volume(90) below Average Volume(30)

Basic Setup
Name: Relative-strength reversal
Approach Type: Long
Start Date: 05/31/2006
End Date: 09/20/2006
Benchmark Symbol: ^SPX

Exit Setup
Stop Loss: 8%
Profit Stop: N/A
Trailing Stop Loss: 15%
Minimum Holding Days: N/A
Maximum holding days: 25
Exit Trigger #1: Price low drops 3% below open
and Slow Stochastics Slow %D(10) above 80
and Slow Stochastics Fast %K(10) dropped below 75

Extra Indicators
Entry Columns:
Show Performance After: after 2 days
after 5 days
after 10 days
after 25 days
after 40 days

Advanced Options
Selection Method: select by volume descending
Entry Price: open
Conditional Entry: No
Exit Price: open
Maximum Trades Per Day: 25
Maximum Open Positions: 250


I would greatly appreciate any help anyone might offer in helping me complete this project. I would also appreicate any constructive criticism that anyone might be so compelled to rebut.

Thanks in advance,

VousDeux

Approach Information
Approach Name: Relative-strength reversal
Test started on 05/31/2006 ended on 09/20/2006, covering 78 days
Filter used:
Relative-strength reversal (saved filter)

Trade Statistics
There were 5 total stocks entered. Of those, 4 or 80.00% were complete and 1 or 20.00% were open.
Of the 4 completed trades, 3 trades or 75.00%resulted in a net gain.
Your average net change for completed trades was: 9.77%.
The average draw down of your approach was: -4.61%.
The average max profit of your approach was: 17.09%
The Reward/Risk ratio for this approach is: 5.88
Annualized Return on Investment (ROI): 205.33%, the ROI of ^SPX was: 16.55%.

Exit Statistics
Stop Loss was triggered 1 times or 25.00% of the time.
Stop Profit was triggered 0 times or 0.00% of the time.
Trailing Stop Loss was triggered 0 times or 0.00% of the time.
You held for the maximum period of time (25 days) 0 times or 0.00% of the time.
An exit trigger was executed 3 times or 75.00% of the time.

Statistics By Holding Period
 Completed2 day chg5 day chg10 day chg25 day chg40 day chg
Winners:352210
Losers:103311
Win/Loss Ratio:3.00:10.00:10.67:10.67:11.00:10.00:1
Net Change:9.77%2.95%0.18%4.00%0.16%-5.80%

Statistics By Variable: Match Price
 <7.5<9<10.5<12<13.5<15<16.5<18<19.5<21
Completed0:11:0--1:0--1:0--
2 day chg1:01:01:0-1:0--1:0--
5 day chg0:10:10:1-1:0--1:0--
10 day chg0:10:10:1-1:0--1:0--
25 day chg0:11:0--------
40 day chg0:1---------

Statistics By Variable: Average Volume
 <1.5M<3.0M<4.5M<6.0M<7.5M<9.0M<10.5M<12.0M<13.5M<15.0M
Completed1:11:0-----1:0--
2 day chg3:01:0-----1:0--
5 day chg0:31:0-----1:0--
10 day chg0:31:0-----1:0--
25 day chg1:1---------
40 day chg0:1---------



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